Algo trading whilst I sleep and code. It’s here.

Today is a landmark day. It was the first day that I was completely happy to go to sleep at 10pm and let EnigmaSignal Autonomous Trade (TM) run the account for me. Of course, I had set the parameters. Low risk at $10 a pip. Moderate aggression on trade, conservative stops.

I woke up to two nice little trades but “only” 50 pips ahead. OK sanity check time.
Mmmmmm mmmmmm. That’s the life for me. Algo trading. And chilling.

EnigmaSignal Quant Trader (TM) releases soon after 4th July. We’ll keep you informed.

flatline. verb. fail to increase; remain static.

The headline is the dictionary definition of flatline.  In trading terms, it is about right.  That’s pretty much what most markets did today.  I watched none of them as I was busy coding a few enhancements to EnigmaSignal “Quant Trader” (EQT).  Yes, we have a name for the product.  That’s what we have built, a personal quant trader.  A Quant Butler if you like.  Personally, I’d like it called Joe 90 after a hero of my youth (see video below). Brits and Aussies will know why.  Americans probably not so.

The great thing was EQT kept working for us.  Right now we have two nicely profitable algos coded and we have another 4 ready to go.  All well tested and now running with real money.  Anyway….todays trade of the day comes from our HTF50 trade type.  Thats Higher Time Frame (scenario) 50. 

Long and detailed set of rules behind it, but it delivers. 

Usually 2-3 small losses a day and a nice winner.  With a risk/reward setting for us of 2:1 that means it delivers a consistent 50 ticks a day (25 forex pips).  That’s 6525 pips on an annual basis, which we like very much.  And that’s from one trade type.

I ended up as a late entry trade but still delivered 150 ticks or 75 pips.  A nice $570 profit with a maximum risk of $133.  Quite happy with that as a risk-reward.  Notice the stop chases up the trade.  Fully adaptive to market conditions (and also configurable for aggression levels).

The real key?  Would I have taken this trade?  I don’t think I would in all honesty.  I wouldn’t have taken the two losers either, but they totalled 11 pips so no big deal.  In fact, I wouldn’t have traded today and would have been $570 worse off for it. 

As from 10pm UK time, I will up our individual trade limit to $200k on forex and 4 futures contracts.  Two trades at a time but asking EQT to monitor 10 markets.  Something I know a human cannot do (and neither can a scanner!!). 

As ever, happy trading.  I will keep you informed of progress.

Meanwhile, enjoy Joe 90.

Why Oscar Wilde would have made a great algo trader

To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, trend-following hedge fund computers know the price of everything, but the value of nothing. This means human investors who focus on value over the long term, rather than price trends, should always be able to profit.

I would agree with that.  But I’m not interested in the long term value of stocks or currencies or commodities.  I’m a trader.  I want to make my return then take my profits and move those money into other investments like property.  

I have traded manually for years at home.  You may ask why when I have worked for banks and hedge funds. Why?  Because the computer power needed to algo trade effectively 10 years ago was over $100k.  Now I am doing it on a water cooled PC that just cost me $4k.

And the results are spectacular.  Full auto trading.  100% machine based trading.

Today for example from Midnight to 4pm UK time the EnigmaSignal auto trader had made 90 pips on GBPAUD alone (see below).  By 9pm that was 150 pips.

How much screen time have I spent doing this?  Zero.  Read that again.  Zero screen time.

Sure I had to set up the parameters.  That took me a couple of hours.

Parameters like:  move stop to break even. minimum profit target, risk: reward ratio etc.

But now I have this strategy set …. the machine will execute the strategy ruthlessly and without emotion.  When I saw a couple of these trades I wondered how in the heck it had taken them.  I could see the setups were good, but I would never have taken them manually. 

And so as we move flat (another parameter for the end of the US markets) I am over 160 pips to the good or put it another way $3200.  Will all days be this good?  Maybe not.  But this was just one currency pair.  

For the first time ever I now feel we truly have the power to deliver a personal algo trading machine for every trader.  To allow you to achieve consistency in your trading to a level that most traders have never seen.  It’s a trip.  Existing users will be upgraded free of charge.  new users will be able to lease or purchase the product.  

For now, the testing continues.  Real money.  Real trades.  Nothing at all is hidden.  Those of you who know the address can screen share and watch it live.  Those that have done so already are ready to be upgraded today!! 

Be patient.  We’re almost there.  We have everything running on Sierra Charts.

Soon we hand the algos over to our Ninja Trader platform programmer.  

By end June we will be live on Sierra and Ninja.  They have the power to handle the complex math.  MT4 is just not up to the job.  Other platforms we will consider in due course.

And finally.  Remeber in all of this, the human is still in the loop.  The machine trades YOUR orders.  Its just trades faster, without emotion and it always follows the rules.  You still need to fit the system to your personality and risk profile.  That’s why all new EnigmaSignal members will still have the opportunity of 1:1 coaching and a complete boot camp course.

At EngimaSignal we dont just backtest the trades.  We backtest the traders.

And another long delay to the blog … but its been worth it

Deep apologies.  I have just been crazily busy on the main project for us right now – the Ninja Trader and Sierra Charts ports.  Plus a sneaky bit of trading along the way of course.

Let’s cover off the trading first. That’s easy.  Today was a good day – and its still not over yet as all these positions here are live.  A cheeky little $4000 (£3049) profit on a few positions.  Look below here though and you will see exactly why I am so happy with this trading.

So why am I so happy?  because those positions were all auto traded!!  Yes, AUTO traded. 

I was asleep when the GBP position was taken, which made it even nicer still.  And I was away from my desk when this little puppy was taken too. 

This is EXACTLY as the trade is drawn on screen at the moment (I may change it).  The risk is calculated, the target is.  NOTHING on this chart is manual. 

No trade is taken when we don’t have at least an 87% chance of making the trade work within 4 time periods.  So far in the last 24 hours, we have traded 26 times on an incredibly choppy GBP/USD.  twenty winners and six losers.  Average win is 20 pips.  Average loss 5 pips.  That makes me very happy.  It took trades that I would not have taken, that for sure.  Which is actually good.  Especially on a choppy day. 

Not long now for the release, and frankly I can’t wait.  I think we have something very special here and with only 500 memberships available it’s going to be fun to have a closed community of traders. 

We will be developing new trade types all the while and making it work for everyone.

In the meantime, thanks for you rpatience and apologies I’m not bloggin that often.

No blogging but profits and some serious developments

Its been crazy busy past few days so I have had no time for anything other than a few trades and mainly, developing the latest versions of EnigmaSignal.  The big news is I now have the Sierra Charts and NinjaTrader 7/8 versions in beta test.  And they look great.  Some nice changes to the graphics and I’m also developing an auto trader as well. 

That will recognise setups and load them up into an interface for you to simply hit trade/no trade.  I’ve also been testing it in fully automatic mode, with real money, on Sierra charts.  The results are good so far but need tuning.  Two of the trades are shown below.  The charts are still using Ensign in the diagrams because I have that setup for auto screenshots in Sierra. 

The entries are not perfect, and the exits are certainly not.  Plus it missed a major short on the GBP/AUD that it should have caught.  BUT that said … its made a profit every day for a week.  Ninja will follow Sierra.  

And there we have it.  Ready for release in 3-4 weeks on Sierra, sortly afterwards on Ninja.  Along with (shortly afterwards) a brand new website.  We’ve also amended the sentiment indicator so that it shows directly on the chart and colours itself according to the strength of the sentiment (third chat below). 

And finally …. we will be showing sentiment from another timeframe on the chart at the same time.  So you can see the 5 minute and 15-minute sentiments or 15 & 60 etc simultaneously.

 Sierra Charts with money management entries marked.
Sierra Charts with money management entries marked.